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Read the Full Policy Brief

Six pages: the problem, the employer math, legislative precedent, design principles, anticipated objections, and the path forward. Shareable and citable with attribution.

Download the Brief (PDF) ↓
The Problem

First-Time Buyer Formation Has Collapsed

21%
First-time buyer share of the market, the lowest recorded since tracking began in 1981 (NAR, 2025)
40
Median age of today's first-time buyer, an all-time high
$1T
Estimated annual cost of voluntary turnover to U.S. businesses (Gallup)

Working Americans cannot reach homeownership the way they once did, and two generations of federal tools have not closed the gap. Direct subsidy never scales. Rate policy compounded the problem. Taxpayer-funded down payment assistance fights annually for survival. The conclusion is not that DPA fails. The conclusion is that taxpayer funding cannot reach the size of the problem, and a different funding source is needed.

The Insight

Employers Already Pay for the Housing Crisis

They pay for it on the turnover line. Replacing a worker costs 50 to 200 percent of annual salary depending on role, and housing instability is a significant, structurally under-addressed driver of voluntary turnover in working-age households. Funding down payment assistance for a tenured employee costs less than losing and replacing that employee. The math already works. What stops it from spreading is that without a tax incentive, the decision sits in the benefits budget competing against dental coverage. A targeted federal tax credit moves it to a CFO-level capital conversation.

The Framework

What the Credit Looks Like

The structural model is the Work Opportunity Tax Credit: decades of bipartisan reauthorization history and a known scoring framework at the Joint Committee on Taxation. Congress saw this concept once before, in the 2007 Housing America's Workforce Act, introduced before the entry-level market broke. The market that bill anticipated is now here.

Advance This Framework

Policymakers, congressional staff, employers, lenders, builders, and housing organizations interested in sponsoring, scoring, or building the coalition behind this framework are invited to contact the author directly.